{"id":184103,"date":"2024-08-19T14:09:53","date_gmt":"2024-08-19T10:09:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/?p=184103"},"modified":"2024-08-19T14:09:55","modified_gmt":"2024-08-19T10:09:55","slug":"investazdan-dunya-maliyy%c9%99-bazarlari-il%c9%99-bagli-h%c9%99ft%c9%99lik-analiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/?p=184103","title":{"rendered":"\u201cInvestAZ\u201ddan d\u00fcnya maliyy\u0259 bazarlar\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 h\u0259ft\u0259lik analiz"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

AB\u015e-da faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259rinin g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k kursu il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259 bu h\u0259ft\u0259 FED s\u0259dri Jerome Pavelin M\u0259rk\u0259zi Banklar\u0131n illik \u201cJackson Hole\u201d Sempoziumundak\u0131 \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f\u0131 il\u0259 daha ayd\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u0259 bil\u0259r. Bundan \u0259vv\u0259l is\u0259, Demokratlar\u0131n Milli Konqresi ba\u015flayacaq. El\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259, qlobal PMI m\u0259lumatlar\u0131 iqtisadi g\u00fcc\u0259 i\u015f\u0131q salacaq v\u0259 enerji bazarlar\u0131 ehtimal ki, geosiyasi g\u0259rginliyin artmas\u0131 fonunda qeyri-sabit qalacaq.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cJackson Hole\u201d Simpoziumu<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

FED s\u0259dri Cerom Pavel c\u00fcm\u0259 g\u00fcn\u00fc Vayominq \u015ftat\u0131nda M\u0259rk\u0259zi bank s\u0259drl\u0259rinin \u201cJackson Hole\u201d illik iqtisadi simpoziumunda a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ed\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bazarlar FED s\u0259drinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczd\u0259ki aylarda faiz endiriml\u0259rinin s\u00fcr\u0259ti v\u0259 vaxt\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 ver\u0259c\u0259yi siqnallara diqq\u0259t yetir\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130qtisadiyyatda yum\u015faq eni\u015f \u00fcmidl\u0259rinin bu ay\u0131n \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259 g\u00fccl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 dair qorxular\u0131n k\u0259skin sat\u0131\u015fa s\u0259b\u0259b olmas\u0131ndan sonra, a\u00e7\u0131qlanan m\u00fcsb\u0259t iqtisadi m\u0259lumatlar\u0131n t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl ehtimal\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 narahatl\u0131qlar\u0131 azaltmas\u0131 s\u0259b\u0259bil\u0259 AB\u015e s\u0259hml\u0259ri yenid\u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259lir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bazar i\u015ftirak\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u0259ks\u0259riyy\u0259ti FED-in sentyabr ay\u0131nda ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k iclas\u0131nda faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259rini azaldaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131r v\u0259 \u0259sas m\u00fczakir\u0259l\u0259r faiz endirimin \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fc (0.25% v\u0259 ya 0.50%) \u0259traf\u0131ndad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AB\u015e-dan iqtisadi m\u0259lumatlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Federal Ehtiyyatlar Sistemi \u00e7\u0259r\u015f\u0259nb\u0259 g\u00fcn\u00fc iyul ay\u0131 iclas\u0131n\u0131n yax\u0131ndan izl\u0259nil\u0259n protokollar\u0131n\u0131 d\u0259rc ed\u0259c\u0259k. Cerom Pavelin inflyasiya il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 ir\u0259lil\u0259yi\u015fi q\u0259bul etm\u0259sind\u0259n sonra, FED-in sentyabrda u\u00e7ot d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259rini endir\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 dair ehtimallar daha da g\u00fccl\u0259ndi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00fcm\u0259 ax\u015fam\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130\u015fsizlik M\u00fcavin\u0259ti \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u00fcraci\u0259tl\u0259rin say\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131qlanacaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FED-in qubernatoru Kristofer Uoller, Atlanta FED-in s\u0259dri Rafael Bostic v\u0259 FED-in n\u0259zar\u0259t \u00fczr\u0259 vitse-prezidenti Maykl Barr da daxil olmaqla, h\u0259ft\u0259 \u0259rzind\u0259 bir ne\u00e7\u0259 FED r\u0259smisinin d\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131qlamalar\u0131 investorlar\u0131n diqq\u0259t m\u0259rk\u0259zind\u0259 olacaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Demokratlar\u0131n Milli Konqresi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Demokratlar bazar ert\u0259si partiyan\u0131n \u00c7ikaqoda ba\u015flayacaq qurultay\u0131nda vitse-prezident Kamala Harrisin namiz\u0259dliyini d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259m\u0259yi h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259diyi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn AB\u015e prezidentliyi u\u011frunda yar\u0131\u015f daha da q\u0131z\u0131\u015fa bil\u0259r. D\u00f6rd g\u00fcn davam ed\u0259c\u0259k t\u0259dbird\u0259 tan\u0131nm\u0131\u015f Demokratlar\u0131n Harris\u0259 d\u0259st\u0259yi g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259k m\u0259qs\u0259di il\u0259 \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015flar etm\u0259si planla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prezident Co Baydenin v\u0259zif\u0259d\u0259n getm\u0259 q\u0259rar\u0131ndan sonra, prezidentlik yar\u0131\u015f\u0131na gir\u0259n Harris Demokratlar\u0131 h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259t\u0259 g\u0259tirdi v\u0259 b\u0259zi r\u0259y sor\u011fular\u0131nda onunla Respublika\u00e7\u0131 Namiz\u0259d Donald Tramp aras\u0131ndak\u0131 f\u0259rqi ba\u011flad\u0131. O, h\u0259tta 5 noyabr se\u00e7kil\u0259rind\u0259n \u0259vv\u0259l bir \u00e7ox sor\u011fularda Tramp\u0131 gerid\u0259 qoyub.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

R\u0259qab\u0259t q\u0131z\u0131\u015fd\u0131qca, investorlar Harrisin siyasi m\u00f6vqel\u0259rin\u0259 ayd\u0131nl\u0131q g\u0259tirm\u0259y\u0259 can at\u0131rlar. X\u00fcsusil\u0259, Kamala Harris Federal Ehtiyatlar Sisteminin m\u00fcst\u0259qilliyini qoruma\u011fa sadiqliyini vur\u011fulay\u0131b ki, bu da, onun Respublika\u00e7\u0131 r\u0259qibi, ke\u00e7mi\u015f prezident Tramp\u0131n fikirl\u0259ri il\u0259 k\u0259skin ziddiyy\u0259t t\u0259\u015fkil edir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

PMI m\u0259lumatlar\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Biznes Aktivliyi \u0130ndeksi g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259ri iqtisadi f\u0259aliyy\u0259tin real vaxt \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259ki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc \u0259ks etdirir. Bu h\u0259ft\u0259 PMI m\u0259lumatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0259ks\u0259riyy\u0259ti c\u00fcm\u0259 ax\u015fam\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131qlanacaq v\u0259 qlobal iqtisadi inki\u015faf\u0131n perspektivl\u0259ri haqq\u0131nda m\u00fch\u00fcm ipuclar\u0131 ver\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130yul ay\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn PMI g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259ri m\u0259rk\u0259zi banklar\u0131n niy\u0259 dilemma i\u00e7ind\u0259 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259n, davam ed\u0259n inflyasiya il\u0259 iqtisadi yava\u015flamaya i\u015far\u0259 etmi\u015fdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AB\u015e-da istehsal f\u0259aliyy\u0259ti z\u0259ifl\u0259y\u0259rk\u0259n, Almaniyada a\u00e7\u0131qlanan r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259r s\u00fcrpriz \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 Avrozonadak\u0131 \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck iqtisadiyyat\u0131n daralaca\u011f\u0131 ehtimal olunur. Bununla bel\u0259, inki\u015faf etmi\u015f iqtisadiyyatlarda istehsal\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n giri\u015f qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri son 18 ayda \u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7at\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130nflyasiya g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k faiz endiriml\u0259rinin s\u00fcr\u0259tini v\u0259 d\u0259rinliyini m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n ed\u0259c\u0259k. \u0130yul ay\u0131n\u0131n z\u0259if PMI m\u0259lumatlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259krarlanmas\u0131 monetar geni\u015fl\u0259nm\u0259nin bazarlar\u0131n ist\u0259diyind\u0259n daha yava\u015f ba\u015f verdiyi anlam\u0131na g\u0259l\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EUR<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cari h\u0259ft\u0259nin \u00e7\u0259r\u015f\u0259nb\u0259 ax\u015fam\u0131 Avrozonada v\u0259 Almaniyada a\u00e7\u0131qlanacaq \u0130stehlak Qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri \u0130ndeksi, s\u0259naye v\u0259 xidm\u0259t sektorlar\u0131nda Biznes Aktivliyi \u0130ndeksi g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259ri a\u00e7\u0131qlanacaq. C\u00fcm\u0259 ax\u015fam\u0131 is\u0259 Avropa M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n\u0131n son toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n protokollar\u0131 d\u0259rc olunacaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6t\u0259n h\u0259ft\u0259y\u0259 1.0910 s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 start ver\u0259n EURUSD m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si 1.1050 h\u0259ddin\u0259 kimi bahala\u015fd\u0131 v\u0259 h\u0259ft\u0259lik \u015fam\u0131n\u0131 1.1030 s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 ba\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBu\u011falar\u201d qiym\u0259ti 1.10$ h\u0259ddinin \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 saxlaya bils\u0259l\u0259r, art\u0131m tendensiyas\u0131 davam ed\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

GBP<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6t\u0259n h\u0259ft\u0259y\u0259 1.2750 s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 ba\u015flayan GBPUSD m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si 1.2940 s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 kimi bahala\u015fd\u0131 v\u0259 h\u0259ft\u0259lik \u015fam\u0131n\u0131 1.29$ s\u0259viyy\u0259sinin \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 tamamlad\u0131. \u201cBu\u011falar\u201d qiym\u0259ti 1.30$ h\u0259ddinin \u00fcz\u0259rin\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259ld\u0259 v\u0259 burada saxlaya bils\u0259l\u0259r, art\u0131m tendensiyas\u0131 daha k\u0259skin xarakter ala bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00fcm\u0259 ax\u015fam\u0131 \u0130ngilt\u0259r\u0259d\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131qlanacaq Ximd\u0259t Sektorunda Biznes Aktivliyi \u0130ndeksi v\u0259 Kompozit Biznes Aktivliyi \u0130ndeksi m\u0259lumatlar\u0131 GBPUSD m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sind\u0259 tendensiyan\u0131n gedi\u015fin\u0259 ciddi t\u0259sir ed\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u0259m\u00e7inin, investorlar c\u00fcm\u0259 ax\u015fam\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc \u201cJackson Hole\u201d Simpoziumunda BoE s\u0259dri Endryu Beylinin \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f\u0131nda monetar siyas\u0259tin g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 dair ipuclar\u0131 axtaracaqlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O\u0130LUK<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qlobal enerji bazarlar\u0131 risk faktorlar\u0131n\u0131n birl\u0259\u015fm\u0259si s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n d\u0259yi\u015fk\u0259nlik ya\u015fay\u0131r v\u0259 he\u00e7 bir rahatlama g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcr. Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin eskalasiyas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 son narahatl\u0131qlar beyn\u0259lxalq xam neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rini bir barel \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 80$-dan yuxar\u0131 qald\u0131r\u0131b v\u0259 bu, regiondan m\u00fcmk\u00fcn t\u0259dar\u00fck\u00fcn pozulmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 qorxular\u0131 \u0259ks etdirir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eyni zamanda, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 \u00c7ind\u0259n neft t\u0259l\u0259bi il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 qeyri-m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nlikl\u0259r xam neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259 \u0259lav\u0259 art\u0131mlar\u0131 m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avropada qaz\u0131n topdansat\u0131\u015f qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli dal\u011falanmalar g\u00f6st\u0259rs\u0259 d\u0259, bu dal\u011falanmalar Rusiyan\u0131n Ukrayna vasit\u0259sil\u0259 n\u0259ql etdiyi qaz\u0131n k\u0259silm\u0259si ehtimal\u0131 il\u0259 daha da k\u0259skinl\u0259\u015fdi. Ukraynaya qaz\u0131n n\u0259qli \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas tranzit m\u0259nt\u0259q\u0259si olan Rusiyan\u0131n Sudja \u015f\u0259h\u0259ri yax\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda davam ed\u0259n toqqu\u015fmalar \u201cQazpromla\u201d 5 illik m\u00fcqavil\u0259nin m\u00fcdd\u0259ti ba\u015fa \u00e7atana q\u0259d\u0259r qaz n\u0259qlinin dayana bil\u0259c\u0259yi il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 narahatl\u0131qlar\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6t\u0259n h\u0259ft\u0259y\u0259 80.20$ s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 ba\u015flayan \u201cBrent\u201d nefti (O\u0130LUK), 82.90$-a kimi bahala\u015fsa da, burada m\u00fcqavim\u0259tl\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131la\u015faraq bir q\u0259d\u0259r ucuzla\u015fd\u0131 v\u0259 h\u0259ft\u0259ni 80$-da ba\u015fa vurdu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

XAUUSD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ke\u00e7\u0259n h\u0259ft\u0259y\u0259 2428$ h\u0259ddind\u0259 start ver\u0259n q\u0131z\u0131l h\u0259ft\u0259 \u0259rzind\u0259 2509.75$-a kimi bahala\u015fd\u0131 v\u0259 h\u0259ft\u0259lik \u015fam\u0131n\u0131 2507.50$ h\u0259ddind\u0259 ba\u011flad\u0131. \u201cBu\u011falar\u201d qiym\u0259ti 2500$ h\u0259ddinin \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 qoruyub saxlaya bils\u0259l\u0259r, art\u0131m tendensiyas\u0131 daha k\u0259skin xarakter ala bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AB\u015e-da faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259rinin g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k kursu il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259 bu h\u0259ft\u0259 FED s\u0259dri Jerome Pavelin M\u0259rk\u0259zi Banklar\u0131n illik \u201cJackson Hole\u201d Sempoziumundak\u0131…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":184104,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,9,6,5],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/184103"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=184103"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/184103\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":184105,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/184103\/revisions\/184105"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/184104"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=184103"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=184103"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=184103"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}