{"id":185216,"date":"2025-01-24T13:12:14","date_gmt":"2025-01-24T09:12:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/?p=185216"},"modified":"2025-01-24T13:12:16","modified_gmt":"2025-01-24T09:12:16","slug":"erm%c9%99ni-oyunu-aldatmaq-ist%c9%99y%c9%99n-pasinyan-aldandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/?p=185216","title":{"rendered":"Erm\u0259ni oyunu: aldatmaq ist\u0259y\u0259n Pa\u015finyan aldand\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"El\u00e7in<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n
El\u00e7in Al\u0131o\u011flu<\/h5>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n ba\u015f naziri Nikol Pa\u015finyan “Q\u0259rb v\u0259 \u015e\u0259rq” adland\u0131r\u0131la bil\u0259c\u0259k yeni geosiyasi doktrina \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 siyas\u0259t y\u00fcr\u00fctd\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc vur\u011fulay\u0131b. \u018fslind\u0259, onun xarici siyas\u0259t taktikas\u0131 Q\u0259rb, Rusiya v\u0259 \u0130ran aras\u0131nda l\u0259ng\u0259r vuraraq t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rd\u0259n h\u0259r birind\u0259n yararlanmaq niyy\u0259tind\u0259n ba\u015fqa he\u00e7 n\u0259 deyil. Bu is\u0259, t\u0259bii ki, he\u00e7 bir halda \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n xarici siyas\u0259tinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f strategiya m\u0259cras\u0131nda y\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fcld\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yl\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 \u0259sas vermir.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

AB\u015e v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan aras\u0131nda Co Bayden administrasiyas\u0131n\u0131n ged\u0259rayaq “h\u0259diyy\u0259” kimi t\u0259qdim etdiyi, Va\u015finqtonda imzalanm\u0131\u015f “Strateji T\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q Xartiyas\u0131” adl\u0131 s\u0259n\u0259d sad\u0259c\u0259 diplomatik jest deyil, Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n AB\u015e v\u0259 Rusiya aras\u0131nda iki c\u0259bh\u0259d\u0259 oynama\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fd\u0131\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 n\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc risk\u0259 atd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcmidsiz c\u0259hdin simvoludur. Nikol Pa\u015finyan v\u0259 onun d\u0259st\u0259si siyasi manevrl\u0259r v\u0259 kulis oyunlar\u0131na v\u0259rdi\u015f etmi\u015f olaraq, bu s\u0259n\u0259di n\u00f6vb\u0259ti uzaqg\u00f6r\u0259nlikd\u0259n m\u0259hrum bir s\u0259hv v\u0259 \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcaldatma n\u00fcmun\u0259sin\u0259 \u00e7evirdil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yanvar\u0131n 14-d\u0259 AB\u015e-nin art\u0131q sabiq d\u00f6vl\u0259t katibi Antoni Blinken v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n X\u0130N ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 Ararat Mirzoyan t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n t\u0259nt\u0259n\u0259li \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 imzalanm\u0131\u015f Xartiya Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n hakimiyy\u0259t d\u0259hlizl\u0259rind\u0259, daha sonra is\u0259 erm\u0259ni medias\u0131nda “erm\u0259ni xalq\u0131nda q\u0259l\u0259b\u0259 ruhu yaradacaq add\u0131m” kimi q\u0259l\u0259m\u0259 verildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259ni medias\u0131 haqq\u0131nda b\u0259hs olunan s\u0259n\u0259di “diplomatiyada v\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259nin t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyinin t\u0259minat\u0131nda \u00e7ox ciddi ir\u0259lil\u0259yi\u015f”, “AB\u015e il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 yeni d\u00f6vr” kimi t\u0259qdim etm\u0259y\u0259 t\u0259l\u0259sdi. Di g\u0259l, \u0259slind\u0259 olan tam f\u0259rqlidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

R\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259van yen\u0259 diletantl\u0131q etdi, Rusiya v\u0259 \u0130ranla m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rini ciddi t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 alt\u0131na atd\u0131, Va\u015finqtonun v\u0259dl\u0259rin\u0259 inand\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xartiyan\u0131n \u0259sas m\u00fcdd\u0259alar\u0131 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n qon\u015fular\u0131 v\u0259 m\u00fctt\u0259fiql\u0259ri aras\u0131nda \u0259sl emosiya f\u0131rt\u0131nas\u0131 yaratd\u0131. AB\u015e-nin “erm\u0259ni s\u0259rh\u0259d\u00e7il\u0259rinin t\u0259limi” b\u0259han\u0259si alt\u0131nda faktiki olaraq Erm\u0259nistan s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259t qurmaq imkan\u0131 \u0259ld\u0259 etm\u0259si erm\u0259nil\u0259r\u0259 yax\u015f\u0131 he\u00e7 n\u0259 v\u0259d etmir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u0259bii ki, s\u0259rh\u0259dind\u0259 amerikal\u0131 h\u0259rb\u00e7il\u0259rin peyda olmas\u0131 perspektivi \u0130ran\u0131 t\u0259\u015fvi\u015f\u0259 sal\u0131b v\u0259 yet\u0259rinc\u0259 q\u0259z\u0259bl\u0259ndirib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amma \u0259sl \u015fok Moskva \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn idi: Amerikan\u0131n “m\u0259sl\u0259h\u0259t\u00e7il\u0259rinin v\u0259 t\u0259limat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n” Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycanla yana\u015f\u0131, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 v\u0259 \u0130ranla s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 d\u0259 peyda olmas\u0131 Kreml \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00e7ox sinirli ehtimald\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7\u00fcnki erm\u0259nil\u0259rin T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 v\u0259 \u0130ranla s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rinin m\u00fchafiz\u0259sini m\u0259hz rusiyal\u0131 s\u0259rh\u0259d\u00e7il\u0259r realla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r, h\u0259min b\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259 onlar s\u00f6z sahibidir. Bu g\u00fcn\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r Rusiyan\u0131n h\u0259rbi v\u0259 siyasi q\u00fcvv\u0259sinin dominant oldu\u011fu s\u0259rh\u0259d b\u00f6lg\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 amerikal\u0131 “t\u0259limat\u00e7\u0131lar”\u0131n peyda olmas\u0131 Kreml \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131q bir \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015fd\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xartiyan\u0131n n\u00fcv\u0259 aspekti d\u0259 bir o q\u0259d\u0259r m\u00fcbahis\u0259lidir. “K\u00fctl\u0259vi q\u0131r\u011f\u0131n silahlar\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131lmas\u0131na n\u0259zar\u0259t” haqq\u0131nda qeyd – Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n k\u00f6hn\u0259lmi\u015f, lakin strateji \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli infrastrukturu olan Metsamor atom-elektrik stansiyas\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131q bir i\u015far\u0259dir. Bu madd\u0259, t\u0259bii ki, Rusiyan\u0131n Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n enerji sektorundak\u0131 rolunu z\u0259ifl\u0259tm\u0259y\u0259 v\u0259 eyni zamanda AB\u015e-nin t\u0259sirini art\u0131rma\u011fa y\u00f6n\u0259lib. Amma Erm\u0259nistan bu “n\u0259zar\u0259t” \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0259qiq\u0259t\u0259n d\u0259 \u00f6d\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 haz\u0131rd\u0131rm\u0131?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xartiyan\u0131n Qaraba\u011fa aid olan b\u00f6lm\u0259si x\u00fcsusi diqq\u0259t\u0259 layiqdir. \u0130r\u0259van Va\u015finqtonu “etnik t\u0259mizl\u0259m\u0259l\u0259r” v\u0259 ya “m\u0259cburi k\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcrm\u0259” kimi ifad\u0259l\u0259ri s\u0259n\u0259d\u0259 daxil etm\u0259y\u0259 inand\u0131ra bilm\u0259di. Bu, Erm\u0259nistan diplomatiyas\u0131n\u0131n Q\u0259rbin d\u0259st\u0259yini qazanmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn emosional narrativl\u0259rd\u0259n istifad\u0259 etdiyi h\u0259r bir c\u0259hdd\u0259 u\u011fursuz oldu\u011funu g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Bunun \u0259v\u0259zin\u0259, AB\u015e m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 ritorikas\u0131ndan uzaq dayanaraq Erm\u0259nistan\u0131 ke\u00e7mi\u015f s\u0259hvl\u0259rini \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn \u0259sasland\u0131rma\u011fa buraxd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xartiya imzalanan kimi Nikol Pa\u015finyan t\u0259l\u0259sik Vladimir Putin\u0259 z\u0259ng edib h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 izahat verm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fd\u0131. F\u0259q\u0259t v\u0259ziyy\u0259t \u00f6z\u00fc-\u00f6zl\u00fcy\u00fcnd\u0259 h\u0259r \u015feyi deyir: Erm\u0259nistan AB\u015e-y\u0259 do\u011fru add\u0131m at\u0131r v\u0259 eyni zamanda Rusiyan\u0131n sadiq m\u00fctt\u0259fiqi oldu\u011funu iddia edir. Bu iki\u00fczl\u00fc oyunu u\u011furlu adland\u0131rmaq \u00e7\u0259tindir, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 Avrasiya \u0130qtisadi \u0130ttifaq\u0131 (A\u0130\u0130) v\u0259 Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131 (A\u0130) aras\u0131ndak\u0131 \u0259sas prinsipl\u0259rin uy\u011fun g\u0259lm\u0259diyini n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alanda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n xarici i\u015fl\u0259r naziri Ararat Mirzoyan da Sergey Lavrovla g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u0259r\u0259k Moskvaya AB\u015e il\u0259 strateji t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n Rusiya il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 t\u0259hdid yaratmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259sdiql\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amma bel\u0259 b\u0259yanatlar Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n qeyri-real ambisiyalar\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da\u015f\u0131ya bilm\u0259y\u0259n iki stulda oturma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u0259ks etdirir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Donald Tramp\u0131n inaqurasiyas\u0131ndan sonra \u0259n maraql\u0131 hadis\u0259l\u0259r ba\u015f verm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flad\u0131. AB\u015e-nin s\u0259rt m\u00f6vqeyi il\u0259 tan\u0131nan yeni prezidenti Co Baydenin d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 imzalanm\u0131\u015f b\u00fct\u00fcn sazi\u015fl\u0259ri, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n Erm\u0259nistanla imzalanm\u0131\u015f Xartiyan\u0131 yenid\u0259n g\u00f6zd\u0259n ke\u00e7irm\u0259k niyy\u0259tind\u0259 ola bil\u0259r. Bu ehtimal, Erm\u0259nistan siyas\u0259t\u00e7il\u0259rini a\u00e7\u0131q-a\u015fkar narahat edir. A\u015fkar g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr ki, \u0130r\u0259van uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli v\u0259 \u00e7oxgedi\u015fli siyasi oyuna haz\u0131r deyil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusiya siyas\u0259t\u00e7il\u0259ri is\u0259 art\u0131q a\u00e7\u0131q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 bildiribl\u0259r: Moskva Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Rusiyan\u0131 \u00f6z maraqlar\u0131na xidm\u0259t ed\u0259n bir al\u0259t kimi istifad\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 davam etm\u0259sin\u0259 g\u00f6z yummayacaq. Rusiya D\u00f6vl\u0259t Dumas\u0131n\u0131n MDB i\u015fl\u0259ri \u00fczr\u0259 komit\u0259sinin r\u0259hb\u0259ri Leonid Kala\u015fnikovun s\u00f6zl\u0259ri bu m\u00f6vqeyi ayd\u0131n ifad\u0259 edir: \u201c\u018fg\u0259r Erm\u0259nistan r\u0259hb\u0259rliyi Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131na qo\u015fulma\u011fa q\u0259rar vers\u0259, buyursunlar. Amma qoy o zaman se\u00e7iml\u0259rini q\u0259ti \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 etsinl\u0259r. Biz Rusiya olaraq, s\u0259brimizin s\u0259rh\u0259dsiz olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirm\u0259k ist\u0259yirik\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistan il\u0259 Rusiya aras\u0131nda ba\u015f ver\u0259n siyasi teatr art\u0131q uzanan v\u0259 sonlu\u011fu ayd\u0131n olan bir dram\u0131 xat\u0131rlad\u0131r. Leonid Kala\u015fnikovun Erm\u0259nistan hakimiyy\u0259tin\u0259 \u00fcnvanlanan s\u00f6zl\u0259ri g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, Kreml Pa\u015finyan h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n \u0259m\u0259llic\u0259 usan\u0131b. Nikol Pa\u015finyan v\u0259 onun komandas\u0131, iki c\u0259bh\u0259d\u0259 oynamaq s\u0259yl\u0259ri il\u0259 \u00f6z \u00f6lk\u0259sini \u00e7\u0131x\u0131lmaz v\u0259ziyy\u0259t\u0259 sal\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sergey Lavrovun Ararat Mirzoyan il\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u0259 \u201cqar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 m\u0259qbul h\u0259ll yollar\u0131\u201d ifad\u0259sini i\u015fl\u0259tm\u0259si d\u0259rin m\u0259yuslu\u011fun diplomatik p\u0259rd\u0259l\u0259nm\u0259si t\u0259siri ba\u011f\u0131\u015flay\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistan AB\u015e-nin \u201cx\u00fcsusi t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f\u0131\u201d statusunu qorumaq v\u0259 eyni zamanda KTMT v\u0259 Rusiya il\u0259 formal \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259rini saxlama\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015faraq tam strateji perspektivd\u0259n m\u0259hrum oldu\u011funu n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdirir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131na daxil olmaq niyy\u0259tini b\u0259yan ed\u0259n \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n bu add\u0131m\u0131 daxili siyasi qeyri-sabitlikd\u0259n diqq\u0259ti yay\u0131nd\u0131rmaq v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan c\u0259miyy\u0259tin\u0259 xarici siyas\u0259td\u0259 \u201cu\u011furlar\u201d g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259k c\u0259hdi kimi qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndiril\u0259 bil\u0259r. Ancaq Moskva bu b\u0259yanatlar\u0131n arxas\u0131nda real m\u0259zmun olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yax\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. Kreml \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ayd\u0131nd\u0131r ki, Pa\u015finyan v\u0259 onun \u0259traf\u0131 h\u0259r hans\u0131 \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q format\u0131n\u0131 siyasi \u015fantaj al\u0259ti kimi istifad\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Halbuki bu metod i\u015fl\u0259k deyil v\u0259 \u00e7oxdan k\u00fctl\u0259\u015fib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusiya Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259ki iki\u00fczl\u00fc yana\u015fmaya daha d\u00f6zm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yini a\u00e7\u0131q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 b\u0259yan edib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nil\u0259rs\u0259 iddia edirl\u0259r ki, Moskva \u0259slind\u0259, \u0130r\u0259vanla m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri qism\u0259n d\u0259 olsa, normalla\u015fd\u0131rmaq m\u0259qs\u0259dil\u0259 “diplomatik pauza” verib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u018fslind\u0259 bu “pauza” \u0130r\u0259vana ni\u015fangahdan baxmaqd\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moskva \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n AB\u015e il\u0259 alyans\u0131n\u0131n v\u0259 Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131na inteqrasiya c\u0259hdl\u0259rinin ikit\u0259r\u0259fli m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 t\u0259hdid olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia ed\u0259n a\u00e7\u0131qlamalar\u0131n\u0131 hu\u015fyarl\u0131qla dinl\u0259yirmi\u015f kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. Amma \u0259slind\u0259, Kreml Erm\u0259nistanda siyasi v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259c\u0259yini g\u00f6zl\u0259yir ki, n\u0259hay\u0259t, \u0130r\u0259vanda \u00f6z\u00fcn\u0259 etibarl\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f tapa bilsin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u0259b\u0259b b\u0259lli: Nikol Pa\u015finyan Kreml \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn art\u0131q \u00e7oxdan “silinmi\u015f” bir fiqurdur. Onun hakimiyy\u0259td\u0259 qalmas\u0131 sad\u0259c\u0259 m\u00fcv\u0259qq\u0259ti bir anla\u015f\u0131lmazl\u0131q kimi q\u0259bul edilir. Ananyan bildirir ki, Rusiya art\u0131q Pa\u015finyan\u0131 \u0259v\u0259z ed\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k uy\u011fun namiz\u0259dl\u0259ri axtarma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu kontekstd\u0259 \u201csaray \u00e7evrili\u015fi\u201d ehtimal\u0131 haqq\u0131nda s\u00f6hb\u0259tl\u0259rin artmas\u0131 Kreml daxilind\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan r\u0259hb\u0259rliyin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 artan m\u0259yuslu\u011fu \u0259ks etdirir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n yanl\u0131\u015f istiqam\u0259t\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259lmi\u015f siyas\u0259ti, \u00f6lk\u0259ni beyn\u0259lxalq arenada t\u0259crid v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin\u0259 salmaq t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259si il\u0259 \u00fcz-\u00fcz\u0259 qoyur. Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Erm\u0259nistan strateji bax\u0131mdan vacib bir t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f olaraq qal\u0131r, lakin Kreml m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin davaml\u0131 v\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131la bil\u0259n olmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Pa\u015finyan h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin yerin\u0259 daha etibarl\u0131 bir r\u0259hb\u0259rlik g\u00f6rm\u0259k ist\u0259yir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u018fg\u0259r \u0130r\u0259van siyasi kursunu d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259zs\u0259, Erm\u0259nistan h\u0259m regional d\u0259st\u0259yini itir\u0259, h\u0259m d\u0259 \u00f6z suverenliyini daha da risk alt\u0131na sala bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistan t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259li siyasi oyunlar oynamaqla h\u0259r \u015feyi itirm\u0259k riski qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndad\u0131r. Onun Rusiya il\u0259 Q\u0259rb aras\u0131nda tutdu\u011fu m\u00f6vqe diplomatik \u00e7evikliyin n\u00fcmun\u0259si deyil, \u0259ksin\u0259, strateji istiqam\u0259tin tamamil\u0259 itirilm\u0259si anlam\u0131na g\u0259lir. Strateji kurs se\u00e7m\u0259kd\u0259 \u00e7\u0259tinlik \u00e7\u0259k\u0259n \u0130r\u0259van, art\u0131q he\u00e7 kimin \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q etm\u0259k ist\u0259m\u0259diyi problemli t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fa \u00e7evrilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn C\u0259nubi Qafqazda sabitlik siyas\u0259tinin \u0259sas elementidir: \u0259l\u0259lx\u00fcsus da Q\u0259rbl\u0259 davam ed\u0259n qar\u015f\u0131durma v\u0259 Ukrayna b\u00f6hran\u0131 fonunda. Moskva Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n manevrl\u0259rin\u0259 m\u00fcv\u0259qq\u0259ti d\u00f6z\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fck g\u00f6st\u0259rir, lakin bunun yaln\u0131z yeni g\u0259rginlik ocaqlar\u0131n\u0131n yaranmamas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn oldu\u011fu ayd\u0131nd\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusiyan\u0131n s\u0259brinin s\u0259rh\u0259di var v\u0259 bu v\u0259ziyy\u0259t sonsuzad\u0259k davam ed\u0259 bilm\u0259z.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reall\u0131q odur ki, Erm\u0259nistan el\u0259 bir v\u0259ziyy\u0259t\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb ki, onun g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k taleyi yaln\u0131z siyasi kursun v\u0259 hakimiyy\u0259tin d\u0259yi\u015fdirilm\u0259sind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r. Rusiya Pa\u015finyanla uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q perspektivini g\u00f6rm\u00fcr. \u0130r\u0259vanda yaln\u0131z yeni liderl\u0259rin hakimiyy\u0259t\u0259 g\u0259lm\u0259si, Kreml\u0259 ayd\u0131n v\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131la bil\u0259n m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri t\u0259min ed\u0259 bil\u0259r. Bu d\u0259yi\u015fiklik olmadan Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n sabitliyi t\u0259min etm\u0259si m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistan \u00f6z siyasi oyunlar\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131q i\u015f\u0259 yaramad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir n\u00f6qt\u0259y\u0259 g\u0259lib \u00e7at\u0131b. Rusiya il\u0259 Q\u0259rb aras\u0131nda balans saxlamaq c\u0259hdi, \u00f6lk\u0259ni t\u0259crid v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin\u0259 v\u0259 \u0259sas t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131n etimad\u0131n\u0131 itirm\u0259y\u0259 apar\u0131r. Moskva \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0130r\u0259van strateji bax\u0131mdan m\u00fch\u00fcm m\u00fctt\u0259fiq olaraq qal\u0131r, lakin bu m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin davam\u0131 yaln\u0131z Erm\u0259nistan r\u0259hb\u0259rliyind\u0259ki d\u0259yi\u015fikliy\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. \u018fks t\u0259qdird\u0259, Erm\u0259nistan t\u0259kc\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n d\u0259st\u0259yini deyil, \u00f6z g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yini d\u0259 itirm\u0259k riski il\u0259 \u00fczl\u0259\u015fir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nikol Pa\u015finyan\u0131n v\u0259 d\u0259st\u0259sinin son konvulsiv davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 il\u0259 b\u0259yanatlar\u0131 t\u0259kc\u0259 r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n diplomatik s\u0259hvini deyil, h\u0259m d\u0259 onun b\u00fct\u00fcn m\u00fctt\u0259fiql\u0259rin\u0259 v\u0259 qon\u015fular\u0131na bir mesaj\u0131n\u0131 ifad\u0259 edir. \u0130r\u0259van uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli sabitliyi qurban ver\u0259r\u0259k q\u0131sa m\u00fcdd\u0259tli m\u0259nf\u0259\u0259tl\u0259rin arxas\u0131nca ged\u0259n strategiyas\u0131n\u0131 davam etdirir. Amerikan\u0131n Erm\u0259nistan s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 m\u00f6vcudlu\u011fu v\u0259 Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131 il\u0259 Avrasiya \u0130qtisadi \u0130ttifaq\u0131 aras\u0131nda balans yaratmaq c\u0259hdl\u0259ri t\u0259kc\u0259 Rusiya il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri deyil, h\u0259m d\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n daxili sabitliyini t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 alt\u0131na qoyur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n qeyri-m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n xarici siyas\u0259ti onu geosiyasi arenada z\u0259if v\u0259 etibars\u0131z oyun\u00e7uya \u00e7evirir. AB\u015e il\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q Moskvan\u0131n s\u0259brini t\u00fck\u0259tdi. Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k taleyi yaln\u0131z daha ayd\u0131n v\u0259 davaml\u0131 bir siyas\u0259t kursu se\u00e7ilm\u0259sind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq. \u018fks halda, Erm\u0259nistan regional d\u0259st\u0259kd\u0259n m\u0259hrum qalaraq yaln\u0131z \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc t\u0259crid v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin\u0259 sala bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nikol Pa\u015finyan\u0131n h\u0259r k\u0259s\u0259 xo\u015f g\u0259lm\u0259k ist\u0259yi erm\u0259nil\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn b\u00f6y\u00fck riskl\u0259r do\u011furacaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sad\u0259l\u00f6vh ill\u00fcziyalar v\u0259 ikili standartlar siyas\u0259ti, \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n \u00fcmid etdiyi n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259ri t\u0259min etm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k. Moskva v\u0259 Va\u015finqton bu manevrl\u0259ri m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 ed\u0259rk\u0259n Erm\u0259nistan b\u00f6y\u00fck geosiyasi oyunda getdikc\u0259 daha \u00e7ox d\u0259yi\u015fdiril\u0259 bil\u0259n bir fiqura \u00e7evrilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El\u00e7in Al\u0131o\u011flu Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n ba\u015f naziri Nikol Pa\u015finyan “Q\u0259rb v\u0259 \u015e\u0259rq” adland\u0131r\u0131la bil\u0259c\u0259k yeni geosiyasi doktrina \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 siyas\u0259t y\u00fcr\u00fctd\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc vur\u011fulay\u0131b. \u018fslind\u0259,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":185217,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,7,5],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/185216"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=185216"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/185216\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":185218,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/185216\/revisions\/185218"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/185217"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=185216"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=185216"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=185216"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}