{"id":72789,"date":"2020-06-25T11:49:00","date_gmt":"2020-06-25T07:49:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/2019\/72789"},"modified":"2020-06-25T11:49:00","modified_gmt":"2020-06-25T07:49:00","slug":"beyn%c9%99lxalq-valyuta-fondu-dunya-uzr%c9%99-iqtisadi-geril%c9%99m%c9%99nin-artacagini-proqnozlasdirib","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/?p=72789","title":{"rendered":"Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondu d\u00fcnya \u00fczr\u0259 iqtisadi geril\u0259m\u0259nin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

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Bak\u0131, 25 iyun, AZ\u018fRTAC<\/a><\/p>\n

Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondu (IMF) 2020-ci il Qlobal \u0130qtisadi \u0130cmal\u0131nda d\u00fcnya \u00fczr\u0259 iqtisadi geril\u0259m\u0259nin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131qlay\u0131b. Bel\u0259 ki, hesabat\u0131n pessimist ssenari \u00fczr\u0259 proqnozlar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, cari il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn qlobal iqtisadi inki\u015faf 4,9 faiz olacaq. Bu is\u0259 aprel ay\u0131nda t\u0259qdim olunan proqnozla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 1,9 faiz geril\u0259m\u0259 dem\u0259kdir. <\/p>\n

\u0130qtisadi \u0130slahatlar\u0131n T\u0259hlili v\u0259 Kommunikasiya M\u0259rk\u0259zind\u0259n AZ\u018fRTAC<\/a>-a bildirilib ki, hesabatda COVID-19 pandemiyas\u0131n\u0131n bu d\u00f6vr \u0259rzind\u0259 d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131na g\u00f6zl\u0259nildiyind\u0259n daha m\u0259nfi t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rdiyi qeyd edilir. Beyn\u0259lxalq t\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n proqnozuna \u0259sas\u0259n, 2020-ci ilin yanvar ay\u0131nda t\u0259qdim olunan hesablamalarla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 2021-ci il d\u00fcnya \u00fczr\u0259 \u00dcDM 6,5 faiz geril\u0259m\u0259 il\u0259 c\u0259mi 5,4 faiz (aprel ay\u0131na olan proqnozla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 0,4 faiz d\u0259 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131) artacaq. <\/p>\n

Fond d\u00fcnya \u00fczr\u0259 iqtisadi geril\u0259m\u0259nin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b. Haz\u0131rk\u0131 d\u00f6vrd\u0259 b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyada ya\u015fanan b\u00f6hran v\u0259ziyy\u0259tinin dig\u0259rl\u0259rind\u0259n f\u0259rqli x\u00fcsusiyy\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n biri d\u0259 bir \u00e7ox amill\u0259r\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 olaraq b\u00f6hrandan b\u0259rpa m\u00fcdd\u0259tinin n\u0259 zaman ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 v\u0259 n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r davam ed\u0259c\u0259yini proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rma\u011f\u0131n qeyri-m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Pandemiyan\u0131n t\u0259siri n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 2020-ci ilin birinci r\u00fcb\u00fcnd\u0259 \u00c7in, Hindistan, \u00c7ili, Malayziya, Tailand, Almaniya, Yaponiya istisna olmaqla dig\u0259r b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 sinxron qaydada \u00dcDM-d\u0259 geril\u0259m\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunub. \u0130qtisadi inki\u015fafda m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunan bu azalma ikinci r\u00fcbd\u0259 \u00c7in istisna olmaqla dig\u0259r \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 daha da art\u0131b. \u0130nki\u015faf etmi\u015f bir qrup \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin is\u0259 cari ild\u0259 \u00dcDM s\u0259viyy\u0259sinin \u00fcmumilikd\u0259 8 faiz olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Daha detall\u0131 qeyd ets\u0259k, bu azalman\u0131n AB\u015e-da 8, Yaponiyada 5,8, B\u00f6y\u00fck Britaniyada 10,2, Almaniyada 7,8, Fransada 12,5, \u0130taliya v\u0259 \u0130spaniyada is\u025912,8 faiz olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcman edilir.<\/p>\n

Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondunun proqnozuna g\u00f6r\u0259, 2021-ci ild\u0259 inki\u015faf etmi\u015f \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin \u00dcDM-in 4,8 faiz artaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcr ki, bu da 2019-cu il il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 4 faiz a\u015fa\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130nki\u015faf etm\u0259kd\u0259 olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 iqtisadi inki\u015faf\u0131n aprel ay\u0131na olan proqnozla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 2 faiz a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259r\u0259k -3 faiz olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u0259lirli inki\u015faf etm\u0259kd\u0259 olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 is\u0259 -1 faiz olaca\u011f\u0131 proqnoz edilir. \u0130nki\u015faf etm\u0259kd\u0259 olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n yaln\u0131z \u00c7in istisna olmaqla 2020-ci iqtisadi inki\u015faf\u0131n -5 faiz v\u0259 2021-ci il \u00fczr\u0259 4,7 faiz olaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. 2021-ci il \u00fczr\u0259 bu g\u00f6st\u0259rici 2019-cu ilin inki\u015faf s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259n qism\u0259n f\u0259rql\u0259nir.<\/p>\n

\u00dcmumilikd\u0259, indiki zamana q\u0259d\u0259r ya\u015fanan bir \u00e7ox b\u00f6hranlar zaman\u0131 \u0259haliy\u0259 veril\u0259n sosial v\u0259 maliyy\u0259 yard\u0131mlar\u0131 n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 ad\u0259t\u0259n istehlaka d\u0259y\u0259n z\u0259r\u0259rin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 almaq m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmu\u015f, dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n investisiya sah\u0259sind\u0259 daha \u00e7ox geril\u0259m\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edilmi\u015fdi. Lakin pandemiyan\u0131n yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131 krizis istehlak s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 v\u0259 xidm\u0259t sektoruna da olduqca z\u0259r\u0259r verib, t\u0259l\u0259b \u015fokunun ya\u015fanmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olub. B\u00f6hran \u0259m\u0259k bazar\u0131ndan da yan ke\u00e7m\u0259y\u0259r\u0259k 2020-ci ilin birinci r\u00fcb\u00fcnd\u0259 130 milyon, ikinci r\u00fcb\u00fcnd\u0259 is\u0259 300 milyon insan\u0131n i\u015f yerini itirm\u0259si il\u0259 n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259nib. Cari ilin birinci r\u00fcb\u00fcnd\u0259 qlobal ticar\u0259td\u0259 d\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 3,5 faiz, 2020-ci il \u00fczr\u0259 is\u0259 11,9 faiz geril\u0259m\u0259nin olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n

H\u0259m\u00e7inin \u00fcmumi inflyasiya s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 d\u0259 geril\u0259m\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunur. Bel\u0259 ki, 2019-cu ilin sonu il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 2020-ci ilin aprel ay\u0131nda inflyasiya inki\u015faf etm\u0259kd\u0259 olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 4,2 faiz\u0259, inki\u015faf ed\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 is\u0259 0,4 faiz\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. Bundan ba\u015fqa, fiskal k\u0259sirin \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 geni\u015fl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259yi v\u0259 borc nisb\u0259tl\u0259rinin 2020-2021-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 artaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. \u0130lkin ssenariy\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n, qlobal d\u00f6vl\u0259t borcunun indiy\u0259 kimi m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunan \u0259n yuxar\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259riciy\u0259 – 2020-2021-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 \u00dcDM-in 101 faizini ke\u00e7\u0259r\u0259k, 19 faiz rekord s\u0259viyy\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7ataca\u011f\u0131 pronozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Fiskal k\u0259sirin is\u0259 2020-ci ild\u0259 bir il \u0259vv\u0259l il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 10 faiz artaraq 14 faiz\u0259 \u00e7ataca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin iqtisadiyyatlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k \u015foklara daha t\u0259kmil haz\u0131rl\u0131qlar\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259min etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rin t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 avtomatik, vaxt\u0131nda v\u0259 m\u00fcv\u0259qq\u0259ti d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259m\u0259 mexanizml\u0259rinin d\u0259rhal h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irilm\u0259si istiqam\u0259tind\u0259 add\u0131mlar atmas\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulur. \u00c7ox \u015fax\u0259li v\u0259 g\u00fccl\u00fc \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q bir \u00e7ox sah\u0259l\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn z\u0259ruri olaraq qal\u0131r. Tibbi b\u00f6hran v\u0259 xarici maliyy\u0259 v\u0259saitl\u0259rinin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 il\u0259 \u00fczl\u0259\u015f\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn qlobal maliyy\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik \u015f\u0259b\u0259k\u0259si vasit\u0259sil\u0259 borcluluq v\u0259 maliyy\u0259l\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259 kimi \u00e7\u0259tinlikl\u0259ri n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutan likvidlik probleminin h\u0259lli istiqam\u0259tind\u0259 t\u0259dbirl\u0259rin g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u0259si olduqca vacib hesab olunur.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\nAZERTAG.AZ<\/strong> :Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondu d\u00fcnya \u00fczr\u0259 iqtisadi geril\u0259m\u0259nin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b<\/span>\n<\/p>\n

\nM\u0259tnd\u0259 s\u0259hv varsa, onu qeyd edib ctrl + enter d\u00fcym\u0259sini basaraq biz\u0259 g\u00f6nd\u0259rin <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bak\u0131, 25 iyun, AZ\u018fRTAC Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondu (IMF) 2020-ci il Qlobal \u0130qtisadi \u0130cmal\u0131nda d\u00fcnya \u00fczr\u0259 iqtisadi geril\u0259m\u0259nin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131qlay\u0131b. Bel\u0259…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":72790,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72789"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=72789"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72789\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/72790"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=72789"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=72789"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hakimiyyet.info.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=72789"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}